Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Saimon Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Marcos has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniel Marcos has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Saimon OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Tony Gravely · Jan 22L
KOvs David Martinez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Luan Lacerda · Oct 25 Daniel Marcos
oldest →W
vs John Castaneda · Jun 24W
vs Adrian Yanez · Dec 24L
vs Montel Jackson · May 25W
SUBvs Miles Johns · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Saimon OliveiraMetricDaniel Marcos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.25Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Saimon OliveiraDaniel Marcos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Saimon Oliveira(4 fights)Daniel Marcos(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -68.8|Blue +68.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Saimon OliveiraTargetDaniel Marcos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniel Marcos edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control2:05
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 2Daniel Marcos edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:10
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
