Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sirwan Kakai has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny Martinez
oldest →L
vs Chris Cariaso · Feb 14L
vs Scott Jorgensen · Jun 14W
vs Richie Vaculik · Nov 15 Sirwan Kakai
oldest →L
vs Frankie Saenz · Aug 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny MartinezMetricSirwan Kakai
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.04evenly matched on net striking-1.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Danny MartinezSirwan Kakai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Martinez(4 fights)Sirwan Kakai(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Danny MartinezTargetSirwan Kakai
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sirwan Kakai edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns0
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:12Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Sirwan Kakai edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:46Control
Round 3Danny Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
