Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dwight Grant has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dwight Grant has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dwight Grant (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dwight GrantL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 20W
vs Stefan Sekulic · Apr 21L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Oct 21L
KOvs Sergey Khandozhko · Apr 22 Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24L
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dwight GrantMetricDustin Stoltzfus
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.63evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dwight GrantDustin Stoltzfus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dwight Grant(8 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dwight GrantTargetDustin Stoltzfus
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dwight Grant edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Dustin Stoltzfus edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:51Control
Round 3Dustin Stoltzfus edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
