Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claudio Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joseph Holmes has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Claudio Ribeiro has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph Holmes
oldest →L
vs Jamie Pickett · Jan 22W
SUBvs Alen Amedovski · May 22L
SUBvs JunYong Park · Oct 22 Claudio RibeiroL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jan 23L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jul 23L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph HolmesMetricClaudio Ribeiro
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.20Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joseph HolmesClaudio Ribeiro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Holmes(4 fights)Claudio Ribeiro(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -32.9|Blue +32.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joseph HolmesTargetClaudio Ribeiro
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Claudio Ribeiro edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:36
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:11Control
Round 2Claudio Ribeiro edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:54
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:56Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
