Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Geane Herrera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joby Sanchez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joby SanchezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Tateki Matsuda · Jan 15L
SUBvs Roberto Sanchez · Feb 18L
vs Mark De La Rosa · Nov 18 Geane HerreraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Ali Bagautinov · Jun 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joby SanchezMetricGeane Herrera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.40Δ 3.96 — meaningful gap-3.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joby SanchezGeane Herrera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joby Sanchez(5 fights)Geane Herrera(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +10.1|Blue -10.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +202.0|Blue -202.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joby SanchezTargetGeane Herrera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joby Sanchez edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Geane Herrera edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
