Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Irene Aldana has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Irene Aldana has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Macy Chiasson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Irene Aldana
oldest →W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24 Macy ChiassonL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24W
KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Irene AldanaMetricMacy Chiasson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.45Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap+0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Irene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Irene Aldana(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.9|Blue -24.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +301.0|Blue -301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Irene AldanaTargetMacy Chiasson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Irene Aldana edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:55
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 2Macy Chiasson edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:05
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:51Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:20Control
0Knockdowns
