Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →W
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 21L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25 Alex Pereira
oldest →W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 24W
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 25L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricAlex Pereira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jan BlachowiczAlex Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Alex Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -30.0|Blue +30.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +329.0|Blue -329.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jan BlachowiczTargetAlex Pereira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control4:50
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alex Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:57
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Alex Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:45
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
