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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Henry Cejudo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1472

Elo1355

Henry CejudovsChico CamusUFC Prediction Result

UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · Saturday, June 13, 2015Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Henry Cejudo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHenry Cejudo: Well-roundedvsChico Camus: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Henry Cejudo wins(67.2%)

Actual result: Henry Cejudo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Henry Cejudo at -1275 American odds

+$8 profit

$108 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Henry Cejudo

Red Corner

Chico Camus

Blue Corner

-1275

(93%)

Vegas Odds

+825

(11%)

1472

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Henry CejudoL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20

vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24

vs Song Yadong · Feb 25

vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25

latest

Chico Camus

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Feb 13

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 13

vs Chris Holdsworth · May 14

vs Brad Pickett · Nov 14

vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Henry CejudoMetricChico Camus

3.83

Strikes / min

2.58

3.84

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

57%

Strike defense

64%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.77

72%

Takedown defense

72%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.01evenly matched on net striking+0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Henry CejudoChico Camus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Chico Camus(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +116.7|Blue -116.7

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Henry CejudoTargetChico Camus

By target zone

35% acc · 63%

Head

29% acc · 81%

72% acc · 34%

Body

82% acc · 19%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

By position

41% acc · 76%

Distance

30% acc · 79%

58% acc · 24%

Clinch

53% acc · 19%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Henry Cejudo rounds

even

Chico Camus rounds

Round 1Henry Cejudo edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control2:21

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Henry Cejudo edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control1:27

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Henry Cejudo edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control1:17

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 143

Sig Strikes

48 / 144

44.7%

Sig Str %

34%

133 / 219

Total Strikes

59 / 157

1 / 15

TDs

0 / 1

8.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:05

Ctrl Time

0:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chico Camus	16 / 39	20 / 45	0 / 1
1	Henry Cejudo	15 / 29	38 / 53	0 / 7
2	Chico Camus	17 / 61	18 / 62	0 / 0
2	Henry Cejudo	24 / 63	47 / 86	0 / 4
3	Chico Camus	15 / 44	21 / 50	0 / 0
3	Henry Cejudo	23 / 51	48 / 80	1 / 4

Henry Cejudo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights16

Chico Camus

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7