Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Weidman has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Omari Akhmedov
oldest →W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19W
vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19W
SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21 Chris Weidman
oldest →L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Oct 19L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Omari AkhmedovMetricChris Weidman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Omari AkhmedovChris Weidman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -57.0|Blue +57.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Omari AkhmedovTargetChris Weidman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:59Control
Round 2Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns4
Control1:34
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 3Chris Weidman edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
4:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
