Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dennis Bermudez has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dennis Bermudez
oldest →L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17 Tatsuya Kawajiri
oldest →W
SUBvs Sean Soriano · Jan 14W
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 15W
vs Jason Knight · Dec 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dennis BermudezMetricTatsuya Kawajiri
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.35Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dennis BermudezTatsuya Kawajiri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Tatsuya Kawajiri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +133.8|Blue -133.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +153.0|Blue -153.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dennis BermudezTargetTatsuya Kawajiri
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dennis Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:58
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 2Dennis Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control1:03
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:13Control
Round 3Dennis Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns3
Control0:20
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
