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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Danny Henry won · U-DEC R3
Elo1386
Danny Henry
Elo1492

Danny HenryvsDaniel TeymurUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Sunday, July 16, 2017Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Danny Henry won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDanny Henry: Pressure fightervsDaniel Teymur: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Danny Henry wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Danny Henry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Henry at +150 American odds

+$150 profit

$250 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Danny Henry threatens submissions; Daniel Teymur has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Daniel Teymur has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Danny Henry has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Danny Henry
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Teymur
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
1386
Elo
1492
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'5"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danny HenryL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Hakeem Dawodu · Mar 18
L
SUBvs Dan Ige · Mar 19
L
SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 20
latest
Daniel Teymur
oldest →
L
SUBvs Julio Arce · Jun 18
L
SUBvs Chris Fishgold · Feb 19
W
vs Sung Bin Jo · Jun 19
L
KOvs Chase Hooper · Dec 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danny HenryMetricDaniel Teymur
5.20
Strikes / min
3.08
4.16
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
45%
Strike defense
56%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
0.56
50%
Takedown defense
60%
2.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap-0.85
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Danny Henry(4 fights)Daniel Teymur(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -105.7|Blue +105.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danny HenryTargetDaniel Teymur

By target zone

69
50% acc · 74%
Head
44
44% acc · 64%
18
62% acc · 19%
Body
8
100% acc · 12%
6
100% acc · 6%
Leg
17
77% acc · 25%

By position

49
42% acc · 53%
Distance
50
49% acc · 72%
6
75% acc · 6%
Clinch
12
67% acc · 17%
38
79% acc · 41%
Ground
7
78% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Danny Henry rounds
0
even
1
Daniel Teymur rounds
Round 1Daniel Teymur edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:13Control
Round 2Danny Henry edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control1:52
Knockdowns1
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Danny Henry edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns1
Control4:01
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
93 / 174
Sig Strikes
69 / 129
54.7%
Sig Str %
44.7%
153 / 243
Total Strikes
78 / 139
1 / 3
TDs
0 / 2
33.3%
TD %
0%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:53
Ctrl Time
2:30

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Daniel Teymur45 / 6849 / 730 / 10
1Danny Henry18 / 5528 / 710 / 10
2Daniel Teymur22 / 5423 / 550 / 10
2Danny Henry41 / 7649 / 840 / 11
3Daniel Teymur2 / 76 / 110 / 00
3Danny Henry34 / 4376 / 881 / 11

Danny Henry

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Daniel Teymur

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5