Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean O'Malley is a KO finisher (58% of wins). Raulian Paiva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Sean O'Malley has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raulian Paiva has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raulian Paiva
oldest →L
KOvs Rogerio Bontorin · Aug 19W
KOvs Mark De La Rosa · Feb 20W
DECvs Zhalgas Zhamagulov · Jul 20W
vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 21L
vs Sergey Morozov · Jun 22 Sean O'MalleyW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24L
SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25W
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raulian PaivaMetricSean O'Malley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87Δ 3.52 — meaningful gap+2.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raulian Paiva(7 fights)Sean O'Malley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -104.0|Blue +104.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raulian PaivaTargetSean O'Malley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
