Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Albini enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Junior Albini has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior AlbiniL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tim Johnson · Jul 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · May 18L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 19L
KOvs Maurice Greene · Jun 19 Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior AlbiniMetricAndrei Arlovski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.10Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Junior AlbiniAndrei Arlovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Albini(5 fights)Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -118.5|Blue +118.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Junior AlbiniTargetAndrei Arlovski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control1:07
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:53
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:38
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
