Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vicente Luque threatens submissions; Themba Gorimbo has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente Luque
oldest →W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 26 Themba GorimboL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Feb 24W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25L
DECvs Jonathan Micallef · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricThemba Gorimbo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vicente LuqueThemba Gorimbo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Themba Gorimbo(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.3|Blue -15.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +196.0|Blue -196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vicente LuqueTargetThemba Gorimbo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Themba Gorimbo edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:14
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
