Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander VolkovW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25W
DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26 Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkovMetricMarcin Tybura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.94Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander VolkovMarcin Tybura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +40.0|Blue -40.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander VolkovTargetMarcin Tybura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:38
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 2Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:06
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
Round 3Alexander Volkov edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:16
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
