Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Brendan Allen threatens submissions; Krzysztof Jotko has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Krzysztof Jotko has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Krzysztof JotkoW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Alen Amedovski · Apr 19L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22 Brendan AllenW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25W
DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Krzysztof JotkoMetricBrendan Allen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.75evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Krzysztof JotkoBrendan Allen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)Brendan Allen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -54.4|Blue +54.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Krzysztof JotkoTargetBrendan Allen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control1:33
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
