Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Williams enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Patrick Williams has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Patrick Williams has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alejandro Perez
oldest →W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19W
SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22 Patrick WilliamsL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Beal · Apr 14L
KOvs Tom Duquesnoy · Apr 17L
vs Luke Sanders · Apr 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alejandro PerezMetricPatrick Williams
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alejandro PerezPatrick Williams
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alejandro Perez(10 fights)Patrick Williams(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +129.9|Blue -129.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -203.0|Blue +203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alejandro PerezTargetPatrick Williams
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Patrick Williams edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
