Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yan Cabral threatens submissions; Johnny Case has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Johnny Case has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yan Cabral
oldest →W
vs David Mitchell · Oct 13L
vs Zak Cummings · May 14W
SUBvs Naoyuki Kotani · Oct 14L
KOvs Reza Madadi · May 16 Johnny CaseL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Kazuki Tokudome · Sep 14W
KOvs Frankie Perez · Jan 15W
vs Francisco Trevino · Jun 15L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Mar 16L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Jun 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yan CabralMetricJohnny Case
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yan CabralJohnny Case
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yan Cabral(5 fights)Johnny Case(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.9|Blue +3.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +231.0|Blue -231.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yan CabralTargetJohnny Case
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yan Cabral edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control2:09
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Johnny Case edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
43Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Johnny Case edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control3:05
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:08Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
