Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Oluwale Bamgbose enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Sarafian is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Oluwale Bamgbose has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Daniel Sarafian has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Oluwale Bamgbose (52.9%).
- Oluwale Bamgbose has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Sarafian
oldest →W
SUBvs Eddie Mendez · Jun 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 13L
SUBvs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 14W
KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Dec 14 Oluwale BamgboseL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Aug 15L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Apr 16L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Jun 17L
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Dec 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel SarafianMetricOluwale Bamgbose
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87evenly matched on net striking-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel SarafianOluwale Bamgbose
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Sarafian(6 fights)Oluwale Bamgbose(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +127.4|Blue -127.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +231.0|Blue -231.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel SarafianTargetOluwale Bamgbose
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Oluwale Bamgbose edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
