Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris CamozziL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Vitor Miranda · May 16L
SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16L
vs Trevor Smith · May 17 Francis CarmontL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Apr 13W
DECvs Costas Philippou · Sep 13L
vs Jacare Souza · Feb 14L
KOvs Thales Leites · Aug 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CamozziMetricFrancis Carmont
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.61evenly matched on net striking+0.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris CamozziFrancis Carmont
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Francis Carmont(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.2|Blue +47.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris CamozziTargetFrancis Carmont
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control2:31
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:13Control
Round 2Francis Carmont edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control1:50
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:15Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Francis Carmont edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:38
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
