Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19 Johnny Case
oldest →W
SUBvs Kazuki Tokudome · Sep 14W
KOvs Frankie Perez · Jan 15W
vs Francisco Trevino · Jun 15L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Mar 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony Rocco MartinMetricJohnny Case
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony Rocco MartinJohnny Case
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)Johnny Case(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +131.7|Blue -131.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -302.0|Blue +302.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony Rocco MartinTargetJohnny Case
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Anthony Rocco Martin rounds
Round 1Johnny Case edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Johnny Case edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns1
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
