Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Poirier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Poirier is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Benoit Saint Denis has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Benoit Saint Denis threatens submissions; Dustin Poirier has lost 44% of fights by sub.
- Dustin Poirier has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 21W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25 Benoit Saint Denis
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricBenoit Saint Denis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.67evenly matched on net striking+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin PoirierBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.3|Blue +52.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin PoirierTargetBenoit Saint Denis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Benoit Saint Denis rounds
Round 1Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:23
38Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:20Control
Round 2Dustin Poirier edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:33Control
0Knockdowns
