Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tafon Nchukwi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mike Rodriguez is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Tafon Nchukwi has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tafon Nchukwi has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tafon Nchukwi has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Rodriguez (53.5%).
- Mike Rodriguez has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Adam Milstead · Dec 18L
KOvs Da Un Jung · Dec 19W
KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Aug 20L
SUBvs Ed Herman · Sep 20L
SUBvs Danilo Marques · Feb 21 Tafon NchukwiL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jamie Pickett · Dec 20L
vs Junyong Park · May 21L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Mar 22L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Jun 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike RodriguezMetricTafon Nchukwi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.11Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike RodriguezTafon Nchukwi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Rodriguez(7 fights)Tafon Nchukwi(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -62.3|Blue +62.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike RodriguezTargetTafon Nchukwi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tafon Nchukwi edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:49Control
Round 2Tafon Nchukwi edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:56Control
Round 3Tafon Nchukwi edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:02
42Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
