Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hacran Dias has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25 Hacran DiasL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 14W
vs Levan Makashvili · Jun 15L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricHacran Dias
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren ElkinsHacran Dias
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Hacran Dias(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +137.1|Blue -137.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren ElkinsTargetHacran Dias
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hacran Dias edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:14
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:47Control
Round 2Hacran Dias edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:42
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:08Control
Round 3Hacran Dias edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:46
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:57Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
