Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Siyar Bahadurzada is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Luan Chagas has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Luan Chagas has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luan Chagas has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Siyar BahadurzadaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Mar 16W
KOvs Rob Wilkinson · Sep 17L
vs Curtis Millender · Dec 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19 Luan Chagas
oldest →L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Sep 16W
SUBvs Jimmy Wallhead · Jun 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Siyar BahadurzadaMetricLuan Chagas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.32Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Siyar BahadurzadaLuan Chagas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)Luan Chagas(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -114.5|Blue +114.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Siyar BahadurzadaTargetLuan Chagas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Siyar Bahadurzada rounds
Round 1Siyar Bahadurzada edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:39
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:34Control
Round 2Siyar Bahadurzada edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
