Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Morono enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniil Donchenko has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniil Donchenko has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex MoronoL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 23L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25 Daniil DonchenkoW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rodrigo Sezinando · Sep 25W
KOvs Theodor Berggren · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex MoronoMetricDaniil Donchenko
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02Δ 4.56 — meaningful gap+4.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex MoronoDaniil Donchenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Morono(10 fights)Daniil Donchenko(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -84.5|Blue +84.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +189.0|Blue -189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex MoronoTargetDaniil Donchenko
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniil Donchenko edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:44Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Daniil Donchenko edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 3Daniil Donchenko edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
