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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Li Jingliang won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1495

Elo1407

Li JingliangvsDavid ZawadaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Li Jingliang won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:07

Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsDavid Zawada: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Li Jingliang wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Li Jingliang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Li Jingliang at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

David Zawada has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Li Jingliang

Red Corner

David Zawada

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1495

Elo

1407

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Li JingliangL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22

KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24

latest

David ZawadaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Danny Roberts · Jul 18

SUBvs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Nov 19

vs Ramazan Emeev · Jan 21

vs Alex Morono · Sep 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Li JingliangMetricDavid Zawada

4.46

Strikes / min

3.84

3.95

Strikes absorbed / min

4.54

56%

Strike defense

55%

1.19

TDs / 15 min

0.97

60%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.51Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Li JingliangDavid Zawada

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Li Jingliang(10 fights)David Zawada(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +87.9|Blue -87.9

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red +2.5|Blue -2.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +29.0|Blue -29.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Li JingliangTargetDavid Zawada

By target zone

32% acc · 66%

Head

33% acc · 71%

91% acc · 11%

Body

83% acc · 26%

71% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

40% acc · 91%

Distance

39% acc · 86%

25% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 14%

83% acc · 6%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Li Jingliang rounds

even

David Zawada rounds

Round 1David Zawada edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:15

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Li Jingliang edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Li Jingliang edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

89 / 222

Sig Strikes

73 / 184

38%

Sig Str %

39.7%

97 / 234

Total Strikes

74 / 185

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 4

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:16

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	David Zawada	24 / 55	25 / 56	0 / 2
1	Li Jingliang	13 / 41	21 / 53	1 / 2
2	David Zawada	31 / 83	31 / 83	0 / 0
2	Li Jingliang	40 / 97	40 / 97	0 / 0
3	David Zawada	18 / 46	18 / 46	0 / 2
3	Li Jingliang	36 / 84	36 / 84	0 / 0

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17

David Zawada

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights5