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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jimi Manuwa won · U-DEC R3

Elo1373

Elo1493

Jimi ManuwavsJan BlachowiczUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · Saturday, April 11, 2015Krakow, Poland

Official fight result

Jimi Manuwa won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsJan Blachowicz: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Jimi Manuwa wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Jimi Manuwa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimi Manuwa at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jimi Manuwa

Red Corner

Jan Blachowicz

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1373

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

200.66 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jimi ManuwaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19

latest

Jan Blachowicz

oldest →

SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22

vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23

vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25

vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jimi ManuwaMetricJan Blachowicz

3.43

Strikes / min

3.55

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

49%

Strike defense

52%

0.53

TDs / 15 min

0.98

70%

Takedown defense

69%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jimi ManuwaJan Blachowicz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -120.2|Blue +120.2

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +2.2|Blue -2.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +210.0|Blue -210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jimi ManuwaTargetJan Blachowicz

By target zone

33% acc · 35%

Head

32% acc · 57%

64% acc · 37%

Body

65% acc · 39%

80% acc · 28%

Leg

67% acc · 5%

By position

43% acc · 70%

Distance

37% acc · 75%

76% acc · 30%

Clinch

69% acc · 25%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jimi Manuwa rounds

even

Jan Blachowicz rounds

Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control2:15

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Jimi Manuwa edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control1:35

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Jimi Manuwa edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control1:53

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 86

Sig Strikes

44 / 106

48.3%

Sig Str %

41%

81 / 130

Total Strikes

58 / 120

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:43

Ctrl Time

0:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jan Blachowicz	17 / 36	21 / 40	0 / 0
1	Jimi Manuwa	11 / 26	21 / 39	0 / 1
2	Jan Blachowicz	11 / 35	17 / 41	0 / 1
2	Jimi Manuwa	11 / 26	26 / 44	0 / 0
3	Jan Blachowicz	16 / 35	20 / 39	0 / 2
3	Jimi Manuwa	21 / 34	34 / 47	0 / 1

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12

Jan Blachowicz

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21