Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Davis has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Glover TeixeiraL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21L
SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23 Phil DavisL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Wagner Prado · Oct 12W
vs Vinny Magalhaes · Apr 13W
vs Lyoto Machida · Aug 13L
vs Anthony Johnson · Apr 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Glover TeixeiraMetricPhil Davis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.70Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap+1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Glover TeixeiraPhil Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Phil Davis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -40.5|Blue +40.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Glover TeixeiraTargetPhil Davis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Phil Davis edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:01
20Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:29Control
Round 2Phil Davis edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:14
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:50Control
Round 3Phil Davis edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:01
14Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
