Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Jacoby
oldest →L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26L
KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26 Michal Oleksiejczuk
oldest →L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26L
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin JacobyMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.48evenly matched on net striking+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin JacobyMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.2|Blue -7.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin JacobyTargetMichal Oleksiejczuk
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Michal Oleksiejczuk rounds
Round 1Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:12
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Dustin Jacoby edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns1
Control1:14
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 3Dustin Jacoby edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control1:44
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
