Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ross PearsonL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19 Cub SwansonW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ross PearsonMetricCub Swanson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ross PearsonCub Swanson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Cub Swanson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -144.1|Blue +144.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.0|Blue -3.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +29.0|Blue -29.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ross PearsonTargetCub Swanson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ross Pearson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:44
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Cub Swanson edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control1:51
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
