Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ciryl Gane has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Ciryl Gane
oldest →L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricCiryl Gane
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11Δ 3.07 — meaningful gap+2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisCiryl Gane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Ciryl Gane(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetCiryl Gane
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:05
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 3Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
