Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Kennedy Nzechukwu won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1504

Elo1468

Kennedy NzechukwuvsLukasz BrzeskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Saturday, December 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:51

Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsLukasz Brzeski: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(63.0%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kennedy Nzechukwu is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Lukasz Brzeski has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Kennedy Nzechukwu has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Red Corner

Lukasz Brzeski

Blue Corner

-550

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+410

(20%)

1504

Elo

1468

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'3"

210.82 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

oldest →

KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 23

vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25

vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25

latest

Lukasz BrzeskiL2 streak

oldest →

vs Karl Williams · Mar 23

KOvs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Aug 23

vs Valter Walker · Apr 24

KOvs Mick Parkin · Jul 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricLukasz Brzeski

4.96

Strikes / min

4.90

4.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

51%

Strike defense

54%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.41

80%

Takedown defense

35%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.38evenly matched on net striking+1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Kennedy NzechukwuLukasz Brzeski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Lukasz Brzeski(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +35.7|Blue -35.7

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Kennedy NzechukwuTargetLukasz Brzeski

By target zone

35% acc · 66%

Head

32% acc · 50%

77% acc · 34%

Body

67% acc · 19%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 31%

By position

39% acc · 90%

Distance

46% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds

even

Lukasz Brzeski rounds

Round 1Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 70

Sig Strikes

32 / 69

41%

Sig Str %

46%

29 / 70

Total Strikes

32 / 69

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Lukasz Brzeski	32 / 69	32 / 69	0 / 2	0
1	Kennedy Nzechukwu	29 / 70	29 / 70	0 / 0	0

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach83.0"

Fights15

Lukasz Brzeski

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights7