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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Viscardi Andrade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1490

Richard WalshvsViscardi AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · Saturday, March 19, 2016Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Viscardi Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRichard Walsh: Elusive strikervsViscardi Andrade: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Richard Walsh wins(60.7%)

Actual result: Viscardi Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Richard Walsh at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Richard Walsh

Red Corner

Viscardi Andrade

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1359

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Richard Walsh

oldest →

vs Chris Indich · Apr 14

vs Kiichi Kunimoto · Sep 14

KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 15

vs Steve Kennedy · Nov 15

vs Jonathan Meunier · Nov 16

latest

Viscardi Andrade

oldest →

KOvs Bristol Marunde · Aug 13

DECvs Nico Musoke · Feb 14

vs Gasan Umalatov · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Richard WalshMetricViscardi Andrade

3.84

Strikes / min

3.26

2.72

Strikes absorbed / min

2.77

58%

Strike defense

63%

1.55

TDs / 15 min

1.93

66%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.12evenly matched on net striking+0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Richard WalshViscardi Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Richard Walsh(6 fights)Viscardi Andrade(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -131.9|Blue +131.9

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +2.1|Blue -2.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Richard WalshTargetViscardi Andrade

By target zone

34% acc · 80%

Head

39% acc · 79%

27% acc · 9%

Body

63% acc · 13%

71% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

29% acc · 72%

Distance

41% acc · 82%

75% acc · 7%

Clinch

25% acc · 3%

71% acc · 22%

Ground

75% acc · 16%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Richard Walsh rounds

even

Viscardi Andrade rounds

Round 1Viscardi Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:19Control

Round 2Richard Walsh edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:33

Knockdowns1

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:13Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Viscardi Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:19

7Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:26Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 130

Sig Strikes

38 / 88

37%

Sig Str %

42.3%

82 / 171

Total Strikes

78 / 139

1 / 3

TDs

5 / 8

50%

TD %

69.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:52

Ctrl Time

6:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Viscardi Andrade	19 / 40	33 / 62	1 / 1	0
1	Richard Walsh	10 / 47	24 / 61	0 / 2	0
2	Viscardi Andrade	12 / 32	13 / 34	1 / 3	1
2	Richard Walsh	22 / 56	32 / 70	0 / 0	0
3	Viscardi Andrade	7 / 16	32 / 43	3 / 4	0
3	Richard Walsh	14 / 27	26 / 40	1 / 1	0

Richard Walsh

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Viscardi Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4