Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Paulo Thiago has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Paulo Thiago has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo ThiagoL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Apr 12L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14 Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo ThiagoMetricMichel Prazeres
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paulo ThiagoMichel Prazeres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Thiago(9 fights)Michel Prazeres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paulo ThiagoTargetMichel Prazeres
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:03
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 2Paulo Thiago edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:58
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:48Control
Round 3Paulo Thiago edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:41
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
