Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Donovan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cody Donovan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Nick Penner has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Nick Penner has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nick Penner (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nick Penner
oldest →L
KOvs Anthony Perosh · Mar 12 Cody DonovanL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Aug 13L
KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 13L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nick PennerMetricCody Donovan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-3.35Δ 3.52 — meaningful gap+0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nick PennerCody Donovan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nick Penner(2 fights)Cody Donovan(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nick PennerTargetCody Donovan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cody Donovan edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:48
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
