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Middleweight

3 Rounds

CB Dollaway won · DQ R1

Elo1491

Elo1368

CB DollawayvsHector LombardUFC Prediction Result

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Saturday, March 3, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

CB Dollaway won

DQ · Round 1 · 5:00

Style matchupCB Dollaway: WrestlervsHector Lombard: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: CB Dollaway wins(53.0%)

Actual result: CB Dollaway wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

CB Dollaway at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Hector Lombard is a KO finisher (67% of wins). CB Dollaway has lost 71% of fights by KO.
Hector Lombard has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
CB Dollaway has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

CB Dollaway

Red Corner

Hector Lombard

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1491

Elo

1368

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

5'9"

193.04 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

CB Dollaway

oldest →

KOvs Lyoto Machida · Dec 14

vs Michael Bisping · Apr 15

KOvs Nate Marquardt · Dec 15

vs Ed Herman · Jul 17

KOvs Khalid Murtazaliev · Sep 18

latest

Hector LombardL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Neil Magny · Mar 16

KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16

vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17

KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17

vs Thales Leites · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

CB DollawayMetricHector Lombard

2.65

Strikes / min

3.02

2.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.35

54%

Strike defense

53%

3.55

TDs / 15 min

1.69

62%

Takedown defense

77%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

CB DollawayHector Lombard

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

CB Dollaway(10 fights)Hector Lombard(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +123.6|Blue -123.6

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +71.0|Blue -71.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

CB DollawayTargetHector Lombard

By target zone

57% acc · 31%

Head

44% acc · 42%

73% acc · 62%

Body

50% acc · 11%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

82% acc · 47%

By position

67% acc · 92%

Distance

56% acc · 95%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

CB Dollaway rounds

even

Hector Lombard rounds

Round 1Hector Lombard edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 19

Sig Strikes

19 / 33

68%

Sig Str %

57%

13 / 19

Total Strikes

19 / 33

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Hector Lombard	19 / 33	19 / 33	0 / 0	0
1	CB Dollaway	13 / 19	13 / 19	0 / 0	0

CB Dollaway

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

Hector Lombard

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11