Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Hominick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Pablo Garza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mark Hominick has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mark Hominick has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Pablo Garza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark HominickL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs George Roop · Jan 11L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 11 Pablo GarzaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Fredson Paixao · Dec 10W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Apr 11L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 11L
vs Dennis Bermudez · May 12L
SUBvs Diego Brandao · Apr 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark HominickMetricPablo Garza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mark HominickPablo Garza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Hominick(5 fights)Pablo Garza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.4|Blue +138.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mark HominickTargetPablo Garza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mark Hominick edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns1
Control0:56
Knockdowns1
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Pablo Garza edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:02
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:17Control
Round 3Pablo Garza edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:02
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:55Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
