Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vaughan Lee enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Vaughan Lee has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nam Phan has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nam PhanL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Leonard Garcia · Oct 11L
vs Dennis Siver · Dec 12L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Dec 13 Vaughan LeeL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs TJ Dillashaw · Jul 12W
vs Motonobu Tezuka · Feb 13L
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Jun 13L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · May 14L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nam PhanMetricVaughan Lee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.03Δ 3.43 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nam PhanVaughan Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nam Phan(8 fights)Vaughan Lee(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.5|Blue -3.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -181.0|Blue +181.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nam PhanTargetVaughan Lee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Vaughan Lee edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
58Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Vaughan Lee edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:07
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Vaughan Lee edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:06
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
