Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andre Muniz (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25 Andre MunizL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23W
vs JunYong Park · Dec 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Apr 25L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul CraigMetricAndre Muniz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paul CraigAndre Muniz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Craig(10 fights)Andre Muniz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.9|Blue +11.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paul CraigTargetAndre Muniz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Andre Muniz edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 2Paul Craig edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns2
Control2:56
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:02Control
