Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amanda Nunes has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julianna Pena
oldest →L
SUBvs Germaine de Randamie · Oct 20W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25 Amanda Nunes
oldest →W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Dec 19W
vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21W
vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julianna PenaMetricAmanda Nunes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.54Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+1.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Julianna PenaAmanda Nunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julianna Pena(10 fights)Amanda Nunes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.1|Blue +5.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Julianna PenaTargetAmanda Nunes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
3Knockdowns
Round 3Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 4Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:54Control
Round 5Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
