Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Elias Silverio has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joao Zeferino
oldest →L
vs Rafael Natal · May 13 Elias SilverioL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Jan 14W
SUBvs Ernest Chavez · May 14L
KOvs Rashid Magomedov · Dec 14L
vs Shane Campbell · Aug 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joao ZeferinoMetricElias Silverio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.77Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap+0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joao ZeferinoElias Silverio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joao Zeferino(2 fights)Elias Silverio(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.8|Blue +2.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joao ZeferinoTargetElias Silverio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Elias Silverio edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control2:49
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 2Elias Silverio edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control2:44
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:12Control
Round 3Elias Silverio edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:33
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
