Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Aleksandar Rakic has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25 Aleksandar RakicL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricAleksandar Rakic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.85Δ 3.12 — meaningful gap+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony SmithAleksandar Rakic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.6|Blue -13.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -144.0|Blue +144.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony SmithTargetAleksandar Rakic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Aleksandar Rakic edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:22Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Aleksandar Rakic edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:10
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:31Control
Round 3Aleksandar Rakic edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:14
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
