Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Silvana Gomez Juarez · Nov 22W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25 Vanessa DemopoulosL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Kanako Murata · Oct 23W
vs Emily Ducote · May 24L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Sep 24L
vs Talita Alencar · Apr 25L
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricVanessa Demopoulos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.23Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap-2.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Karolina KowalkiewiczVanessa Demopoulos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.6|Blue +3.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.9|Blue -2.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Karolina KowalkiewiczTargetVanessa Demopoulos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rounds
0
Vanessa Demopoulos rounds
Round 1Karolina Kowalkiewicz edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns0
Control0:23
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Karolina Kowalkiewicz edged it
Sig. strikes55
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Karolina Kowalkiewicz edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns0
Control1:29
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
