Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Morgan Charriere has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Morgan Charriere
oldest →W
KOvs Manolo Zecchini · Sep 23W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 24L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 25W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jul 25L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 25 Chepe Mariscal
oldest →W
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Sep 23W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 24W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 25L
vs Pat Sabatini · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Morgan CharriereMetricChepe Mariscal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.49Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Morgan CharriereChepe Mariscal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Morgan Charriere(6 fights)Chepe Mariscal(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -24.9|Blue +24.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Morgan CharriereTargetChepe Mariscal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chepe Mariscal edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:57
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:30Control
Round 2Morgan Charriere edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns1
Control0:24
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3Chepe Mariscal edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:21
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
