Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Herbert Burns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bill Algeo (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bill AlgeoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 24 Herbert BurnsL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jan 20W
SUBvs Evan Dunham · Jun 20L
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Aug 20L
KOvs Julio Arce · Mar 24L
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Aug 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bill AlgeoMetricHerbert Burns
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.50Δ 4.81 — meaningful gap-3.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bill AlgeoHerbert Burns
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bill Algeo(10 fights)Herbert Burns(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.8|Blue -14.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -518.0|Blue +518.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bill AlgeoTargetHerbert Burns
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control4:01
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 2Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:25
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
