Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Kelly (53.5%).
- Rashad Evans has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rashad EvansL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chael Sonnen · Nov 13L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18 Daniel KellyL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Mar 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · Nov 16L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Jun 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · Nov 17L
KOvs Tom Breese · May 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rashad EvansMetricDaniel Kelly
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28evenly matched on net striking-1.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rashad EvansDaniel Kelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rashad Evans(10 fights)Daniel Kelly(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rashad EvansTargetDaniel Kelly
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniel Kelly edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Daniel Kelly edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:07
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Daniel Kelly edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
