Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Urijah Faber threatens submissions; Alex Caceres has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
- Alex Caceres has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Urijah Faber
oldest →L
vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16W
vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16W
KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19 Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Urijah FaberMetricAlex Caceres
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Urijah FaberAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Urijah Faber(10 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.8|Blue +7.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Urijah FaberTargetAlex Caceres
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Urijah Faber edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control4:13
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Urijah Faber edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns3
Control2:23
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:10
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
