Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25L
DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26 Jack Della MaddalenaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23W
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24L
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Belal MuhammadMetricJack Della Maddalena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.61evenly matched on net striking+1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Belal MuhammadJack Della Maddalena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Belal Muhammad(10 fights)Jack Della Maddalena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -26.7|Blue +26.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Belal MuhammadTargetJack Della Maddalena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Jack Della Maddalena rounds
Round 1Jack Della Maddalena edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:04
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jack Della Maddalena edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:07
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:19
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 4Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control1:19
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 5Jack Della Maddalena edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns2
Control1:32
53Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
