Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alex Da Silva has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kazula Vargas (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kazula Vargas
oldest →L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Mar 22 Alex Da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 19L
vs Brad Riddell · Sep 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kazula VargasMetricAlex Da Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.88Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kazula VargasAlex Da Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kazula Vargas(4 fights)Alex Da Silva(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +67.7|Blue -67.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kazula VargasTargetAlex Da Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Da Silva edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:18
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:31Control
Round 2Alex Da Silva edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:14Control
Round 3Alex Da Silva edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
